 |
 |
|
|
| | Today at 11Þ 00 ÍÉÎ | 3 days forecast |
| today | tomorrow | day after
tomorrow |
|
| Wind |
30 deg. 5 m/s |
N, NE 5-8 m/s |
Changing 5-8 m/s |
N 7-10 m/s |
|
| Sea |
2 p. 0,5 m, ripple |
3 p. 0,5-1,0 m, ripple |
3 p. 0,75-1,25 m |
3 Â. 0,75-1,25 m, ripple 1,5 m |
|
| Cloudiness |
6 p. 600 m |
5-8 p. 300-600 m |
5-8 p. 300-600 m |
5-8 p. 300-600 m |
|
| Visibility |
10 km |
4-10 km, in rain 2-4 km |
6-10 km |
4-10 km, in rain 2-4 km |
|
| Atm. phenomena |
|
short rains |
short rains |
Rain at times |
|
| Air temp. |
+3° |
+4°+6° |
+4°+6° |
+4°+6° |
|
| Water temp. |
+7° |
+6°+8° |
+6°+8° |
+6°+8° |
|
| Radiation |
3 mÓR/h |
3 mÓR/h |
|
|
|
| Illumination |
07.17- 19.23 |
11 h 50 min |
11 h 43 min |
11 h 36 min |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Two to four mild cyclones are expected to pass through the southern areas of the sea in the summer months (June to August) and 4-7 MPS easterly winds are the greatest probability. The likelihood of gales does not exceed 2-5%, spells lasting up to 12 hours. In September, the summer quality of the baric field is disrupted, with northerly winds starting to prevail and cloudy spells growing in duration. In October, the processes will have all the hallmarks of wintry weather the passing of as many as five rather active and profound cyclones. The likelihood of gales will grow as will their duration (up to 24 hours and more).
The area s visibility conditions are changeable and the probability of poor visibility (less than one kilometer) is 10-15%.
The average temperatures will be anywhere between +2 and 4 Celsius in June and +6 - +8 in August.
Conclusions:
- favorable hydrometeorological conditions (80%) will prevail in the period from June to August; from September to mid-October, the likelihood of favorable conditions is going to be reduced to 50-55% and that of difficult ones increased to 20-25%
- as of the latter half of October, the likelihood of unfavorable weather conditions and gales (upwards of 20 MPS winds) will grow dramatically (up to 30-40%);
- a short spell of bad weather (moderate sea) is possible in the latter half of September, something likely to interfere with the planned lifting work
The forecast is based on the climatic and regime data of the Navy s Hydrometeorological Service.
May 23, 2001
|
|
|
|
